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Monday, December 3

3rd Dec - US Open



Quote of the Day: "We’re not against some business being done in London, but the bulk of the business should be under our control. That’s the consequence of the choice by the UK to remain outside the euro area." – Christian Noyer, the very French head of central bank.


Previously on MoreLiver’s:

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Roundups & Commentary
Frontrunning – ZH
Overnight: Fiscal Cliff Headline Manic Depression Set To Continue – ZH
The Lunch Wrap – alphaville / FT
Emerging N.Y. headlines – beyondbrics / FT
Today’s front pages – presseurop
Daily press summary – Open Europe

Morning MarketBeat: December Rally No Sure Thing – WSJ
Broker Note Briefing – WSJ
FX Drivers in the Week AheadMarc to Market

US session ahead
Pre-market Commentary – Marketwatch
Pre-Market Trading – CNNMoney
Pre-Market – NASDAQ
Earnings & Events – The Street
MarketCurrents – Seeking Alpha

Reference
Debt crisis live – The Telegraph
The Euro Crisis Blog – WSJ
Tracking Europe’s Debt Crisis – NYT
FX Options Analytics – Saxo Bank
European 10yr Yields and Spreads – MTS indices
Economic Calendar – Forexpros

EUROPE
Calm after the storm MacroScope / Reuters
Is the problem solved? Absolutely not. But has Germany achieved its goal of delaying any disasters, or really tough decisions, until after its elections in the Autumn of 2013? Almost certainly. So we could (famous last words) be in for a period of relative calm on the euro zone crisis front.

Do not trust politicians to supervise Europe’s banksThe A-list / FT
Bank supervisory authorities that are not sufficiently independent, and are too closely associated with the political authorities, are generally under pressure to delay the identification of insolvent banks, for the fear that taxpayers would get upset. The problem thus tends to be postponed, and the cost to the taxpayer rises. The experience of the recent crisis has shown that taxpayers have paid most in countries where supervision was less independent and where the political authorities are most closely associated with the banking system.

Is There a Case for Optimism About the Eurozone?naked capitalism
Financial Times’ John Dizard’s argument that things are going to get better in the Eurozone.

GREECE
Merkel Signals Debt Write-Off Possible as Buyback BeginsBB

Merkel hints at future 'haircut' on Greek debteuobserver

Greece launches bond buyback offer via Dutch auctionReuters

Greece Announces Terms Of Bond Buyback, Repuchase Prices Higher Than Government Indicated PreviouslyZH

UNITED STATES
Blogs review: an update on the fiscal cliffbruegel
On January 1, unless preventive legislation is enacted, the U.S. economy will be gripped by a fiscal contraction equal to around 4% of GDP. The lead negotiators for the White House and Congressional Republicans used the Sunday morning news to introduce their opening bids and defend their positions. Beyond the back and forth political process, the ongoing discussion poses the question of the optimal timing for fiscal contraction in a recovering economy.

ASIA
Cut out’n'keep guide to prospective new BoJ governors alphaville / FT
Japan’s election on December 16 is going to be a doozy. It’s probably the first election where the role and independence of the central bank is a key issue, says Gavyn Davies. There’s also rather a lot of yen short positions that are riding, at least in part, on the outcome

Caveating and caveating China’s upturnalphaville / FT
November marked the first time in over a year that both the official China manufacturing PMIs and the HSBC/Markit Economics PMIs were above 50.

OTHER
Morning Briefing (EU/US): Dutch diseaseBNY Mellon
Non-mining sectors continue to feel the pain in Australia

What happens after the Santa Claus rally?Humble Student

It’s PMI Monday!alphaville / FT
LIVE PMIBI

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