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Thursday, January 10

10th Jan - US Open: ECB ahead

Check also my previous post for more ECB-fun.



Previously on MoreLiver’s:                  

Roundups & Commentary
US Opening News And Market Re-Cap – Ransquawk / ZH
Frontrunning – ZH
Overnight: Bored Markets Looks To ECB Announcement For Some Excitement – ZH
The Lunch Wrap – alphaville / FT
Emerging N.Y. headlines – beyondbrics / FT
Today’s front pages – presseurop
Daily press summary – Open Europe
US voices concern about potential UK exit from EU; FT: New relationship with EU should be put to in/out referendum

Morning MarketBeat: Investors ‘Unnervingly Calm’ – WSJ
Broker Note Briefing – WSJ
Roundup: China Turns Risk Switch – Marc to Market

US session ahead
Pre-market Commentary – Marketwatch
Pre-Market Trading – CNNMoney
Pre-Market – NASDAQ
Earnings & Events – The Street
MarketCurrents – Seeking Alpha

Reference
Debt crisis live – The Telegraph
The Euro Crisis Blog – WSJ
Tracking Europe’s Debt Crisis – NYT
FX Options Analytics – Saxo Bank
European 10yr Yields and Spreads – MTS indices
Economic Calendar – Forexpros


EUROPE
Come play ECBopolyalphaville / FT
Go on, pretend you’re on the governing council. Here are the data points you have to try to steer monetary policy with

ECB to hold fire as economy shows glimmers of hopeReuters
The ECB is expected to keep interest rates at a record low of 0.75 percent on Thursday, refraining from a cut as the euro zone economy shows some signs of stabilizing and inflation still tops its target.

Super Central Mario and those Spanish auctionsTradingFloor
Today's Spanish bond auction was enough to give EURUSD a small boost back towards recent highs. This afternoon's star will be the European Central Bank's Mario Draghi. As always there will be a wild ride in spot markets as soon as he opens his mouth.

Spain to a flying start with its 2013 issuanceNordea

Spain Beats Maximum Target in First 2013 Debt SaleBB

Is there a Merkel alternative?Reuters
Germany's opposition is strong, and it may win this year's elections. But if it does, don’t expect much change. Europe's hegemon is a cautious beast, left or right.

What to do about Britain and Europe?MacroScope / Reuters
After a long, long wait, Britain’s David Cameron is poised to make his big speech on his country’s future ties with Europe. It was supposed to be delivered in the autumn but has been delayed as the realization has dawned that there is no obviously good outcome for the ruling Conservative party’s leadership which faces implacable eurosceptics within its rank-and-file, many of whom want out of the EU completely.


UNITED STATES
Don’t play with the debt ceilingNordea (pdf)
As the deadline for raising the US federal debt ceiling nears without a resolution, markets are likely to get increasingly nervous (or read the summary)

Blogs review: The trillion-dollar platinum coin option to the debt ceilingBruegel

ASIA
China trade: good news, surely?beyondbrics / FT
China’s exports rebounded to 14.1 per cent year on year in December – far higher than expected by economists. Imports were up 6 per cent too, after five slow months. Stocks have ticked upwards in response. Hurrah! So why do some analysts sound less than cheerful?

Fresh Chinese data shows that the economy gains strengthNordea

A how-to guide for Japan to escape deflationBreakingviews / Reuters
Japan has a real chance of ending deflation. But the authorities need to act boldly. It will be hard for the Bank of Japan to dispel a decade of accumulated pessimism by merely adopting a formal inflation target. The goal of the central bank and the finance ministry should be to make people believe that price gains that didn’t occur in the past 10 years will now take place. A de facto currency peg may be the way to engineer those expectations.

OTHER
Morning Briefing (EU/US): In for a pennyBNY Mellon
Mervyn King, a man whose faith in the mertis of simple inflation targeting may have waned, fears that mercantilism is on the rise