MoreLiver's Daily: 7th Jan

Based on these guidelines and the Fed's projections for labour market improvement, it reckons that rates may begin to go up around 2015—not, that is, until the economy is firmly within the window in which we would expect a new downturn.

ASIA

China stocks hit bull market but economists foresee brief recovery – beyondbrics / FT

Hello 2013: China – muddling but not through – beyondbrics / FT

Elections hold key to stability in south Asia – The A-list / FT
Two upcoming elections will be critical for the future stability of south and central Asia and for the continuing success in the struggle to defeat Islamic extremism.

OTHER

Morning Briefing (EU/US): I will survive – BNY Mellon

As we embark on the first fully-manned week of the year, we restate here our views on recent events in Japan and their implications for the JPY

Headwinds for the bull case – Humble Student

The end of RoRo, or is it? – alphaville / FT

Kit Juckes at SocGen was one of many analysts who, after looking at the latest FOMC minutes, found fit to arrive at one overriding conclusion: the era of Risk-on, Risk-off (RoRo) investing is arguably coming to an end.

Drivers in the Week Ahead – Marc to Market

Confusion over Fed policy, FX price action, ECB, BoE, Japan, China data

FX Comment: staying positive – Nordea

FX Strategy – AUD enjoying the IMF boost – Nordea (pdf)

The IMF recently included the AUD among its official reserve currencies. This highlights the nation´s increased safe haven status, and we see this as another strategic reason to play the intra-region bet, long AUD vs NZD.

Swedish Government Debt Handbook – Nordea (pdf)

This handbook gives an overview of the market for Swedish government debt. We offer details on the structure of the market including instruments, marketplace, auctions, issuance, outstanding volume and ownership.

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Monday, January 7

7th Jan - US Open