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Thursday, March 14

14th Mar - EU Open




Previously on MoreLiver’s:

Roundups
News roundup – Between The Hedges
The 6am Cut London – alphaville / FT
Emerging Markets Headlines – beyondbrics / FT


MORNING BRIEFINGS
3 Numbers to Watch: SNB decision, ECB bulletin, US jobless claimsTradingFloor
Switzerland is expected to maintain its zero percent target rate in today’s monetary policy assessment. Meanwhile, the ECB may drop clues about the possibility of a rate cut and weekly jobless claims for the US are projected to rise slightly.

Market Preview: All eyes on Brussels; US jobless claims in focusTradingFloor
European markets are expected to open flat Thursday ahead of the commencement of the European Council's two-day meeting in Brussels later today. Additionally, US jobless claims data is likely to be in spotlight.

Danske DailyDanske Bank (pdf)
Strong US retail sales suggest that consumers have ignored the recent tax hikes so far.
USD stronger but overall limited market reaction. Norges Bank is expected to remain on hold and signal unchanged rates for the rest of the year. Growth strategy and bailout for Cyprus is expected to top EU-summit’s agenda starting today.

Aamukatsaus – Nordea (pdf)

AamukatsausTapiola (pdf)
USA: n vahva vähittäismyynti sai yllättävän vaimean vastaanoton, pitkän nousuputken väsyttämältä markkinalta. Keskolta ja Stockmannilta kohtuullisen heikkoja myyntilukuja alkuvuonna. Osakefutuurit plussalla, ennakoiden nousuavausta pörssiin. Yritysvierailu Lassila & Tikanojassa (Tapiola Pankin TOP-10 osake): Uskomme konsensusestimaattien paikkansapitävyyteen (voitot ja osingot noussevat 2013). Arvostus edullinen = 15% alle historiallisen mediaanin (ja tämä vielä alhaisella korkotasolla!).

MarkkinakalenteriNordnet
MarkkinakalenteriTaloussanomat

EUROPE
Cyprus's Audit WhitewashWSJ
You don't go to the same doctor for a checkup unless you want the same answer.

Europe’s next protest movement – this time in GermanyNordea
Protest movements can achieve strong election results and render forming a government difficult, creating uncertainty on financial markets.

OTHER
Monthly Macro: Widening rift in the eurozone to haunt markets againHandelsbanken (pdf)
China: Slowdown coming earlier than expected * Eurozone: The German locomotive has decoupled *
US: Optimism is back, despite persistent problems * Sweden: Brighter employment outlook, but sluggish GDP path * Bond markets: Long bond yields to rise at a moderate pace

IN FINNISH
Vähittäiskaupan myynti kasvoi tammikuussa 2,9 prosenttia vuodentakaisesta – TK

Teollisuuden liikevaihto supistui vuoden 2012 viimeisellä neljänneksellä reilut 3 prosenttia vuodentakaiseen verrattuna – TK

Palvelualojen liikevaihto kasvoi loka-joulukuussa 2,7 prosenttia vuotta aiemmasta – TK

Inflaatio helmikuussa 1,7 prosenttia – TK