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Tuesday, December 17

17th Dec - More Pre-Fed, EZ banking union



Previously on MoreLiver’s:

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EUROPE
Danske Bank's EMU Poll: Significant lead for No sideDanske Bank
The European debt crisis has affected Danes’ attitude to joining the euro. The No side’s lead is now at 31 percentage points and is rising slightly.

Euro area deflation monitorDanske Bank
Some differences between countries. However, all countries except Germany are placed below zero in the deflation index, which follows as the low inflation is broad based. For Germany the ranking above zero should be temporary as inflation is set to fall in December.

George Osborne: How Britain Returned to GrowthWSJ
We cut spending and top tax rates, and now deficits are down and jobs are being created at a healthy clip.

The third Merkel governmentDB Research
A lot of senior personnel and experience but flawed policy platform

  BANKING UNION
Coming banking union storm: leaked points of frictionBrussels blog / FT
Irreconcilable differences? We should know by Thursday. Either that, or cancel your holiday plans.

Laughable Eurozone Banking "Non-Union"; Expect Disorderly BreakupMish’s

  EUROPEAN CENTRAL BANK
ECB Fails To Sterilize Bond Purchases For Second Time In A MonthZH

Meet The New Bundesbank Hawk At The ECBZH

  CRISIS COUNTRIES
Bailout: ‘ECB assumes Portugal will have a new programme’Presseurop

Don’t cry for Hungary’s forex borrowersbeyondbrics / FT

Iceland's SagaForeign Affairs
A Conversation With Iceland’s president Ólafur Ragnar Grímsson

UNITED STATES
  FEDERAL RESERVE
Three Potential Outcomes From Fed MeetingWSJ
1) hold and wait 2) start tapering 3) announces taper date

Taper Expectations, Then and NowWSJ
This time around, a majority of investors and economists expect the Fed to keep its $85-billion-a-month bond-buying program in place, at least for the next month, if not longer. But if the experts were so off three months ago, what about this time around?

More Economists Weigh In on TaperingWSJ

"Twas The Night Before Taper"ZH
Deutsche's Joe LaVorgna Sees A $10 Billion Taper

What to Watch for From the Fed Meeting WSJ
Will they taper * What do they cut * Do they fiddle with forward guidance * What are their economic projections * How will Bernanke handle his swan song

A Look Inside the Fed’s Balance SheetWSJ
As the Federal Reserve debates whether to keep buying $85 billion of bonds a month, the assets on its balance sheet are on the cusp of surpassing $4 trillion for the first time.

  MACRO NUMBERS
CPI Unchanged, Below Consensus; Core Inflation Higher Than Expected – ZH
CPI unchanged in November, Core CPI increases 0.2% - Calculated Risk
Key Inflation Measures Still Weak as Fed Meets – WSJ

Homebuilder Confidence Spikes Back To Highest In 8 Years – ZH
NAHB: Builder Confidence increases to 58 in December – Calculated Risk
Homebuilder Confidence Finishes 2013 on a Positive Note – Bespoke
Did the Housing Market Already Digest Higher Mortgage Rates? – The Reformed Broker
Change in Home Prices – N.Y. FED
Housing Recovery – Chart Porn

Fed Study Shows Drop in Participation Rate Explained by Retirementdshort

ASIA
Q&A: How Would Fed Tapering Impact Asia?WSJ
Views from Bertrand Badré, chief financial officer at the World Bank Group

OTHER
Remarks on liquidityBIS
Address by Mr Guy Debelle, Assistant Governor (Financial Markets) of the Reserve Bank of Australia, to the Australasian Finance and Banking Conference, Sydney, 17 December 2013.

The modern economy depends on dozens of obscure metalsWaPo
What happens if we run out?

2013 Country Stock Market PerformanceBespoke

FINNISH
Euro tuhoaa pienituloisten säästötTyhmyri
Kiristävä rahapolitiikka ja heikko talouskasvu tekevät säästämisen kannattamattomaksi