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Sunday, May 31

31st May - W/E: Weekly Support



Here are the links to the weekly roundups, reviews and also previews of the beginning week. Last week's 'Support' here. This post will be updated as new material is published.


Previously on MoreLiver’s:

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  LAST WEEK
Weekly ScoreboardBetween The Hedges

Friday’s Price MonitorGlobal Macro Monitor

Tyler’s Weekly Market WrapZH
Worst Economic Data Day Of 2015 Ends With Some Folks Selling In May

Succinct summation of week’s eventsThe Big Picture


  NEXT WEEK
US Schedule for WeekCalculated Risk

Economic CalendarBerenberg
Greece: 5 June IMF repayment deadline * US non-farm payrolls: return to steady jobs growth * Italy regional elections: Renzi in charge * ECB press conference: no time to let up on stimulus

Economic CalendarHandelsbanken

UK Next Week’s AgendaHandelsbanken

World Week Ahead – WSJ

Global Central Banks Calendar – WSJ

Week Ahead – ZH

5 Things to Watch on the Economic CalendarWSJ

Wall St Week AheadReuters

Global Economy Week Ahead – Reuters

Weighing the Week Ahead – A Dash of Insight

EU Week Ahead: – WSJ

Weekly Market OutlookMoody’s

Weekly FocusDanske Bank
Greek negotiations progress slowly but deadline for avoiding default now appears to be extended until mid-June * We expect no new signals on policy in connection with the ECB meeting. Focus on ECB’s plans to frontload bond purchases to avoid a seasonal squeeze * In the euro area we expect inflation to have increased to 0.1% y/y in May but there are upside risks after Italy and Spain have reported higher-than-expected inflation * In the US we expect non-farm payrolls to have increased 220,000 in May. In our view this is still strong enough to pave the way for a Fed-hike in September

Global Outlook: Cruising SpeedBerenberg
Reasonable oil prices: nice boost for Western world, tough luck for Russia * US: private sector in good shape = trend growth after weak Q1 * China: sufficient growth despite slowing trend, risks well contained * Eurozone: oil, exchange rate and ECB support demand as tail risks fade * Euro crisis? Systemic crisis over, Greek crisis remains * UK: solid recovery but mind the politics; Brexit risk contained * Tail risks: Emerging market crash, Grexit, euro politics, Putin restarts war?

StrategyDanske Bank
The Fed is close to ticking all the boxes for lift-off * In the three months up to the first hike US bond yields tend to rise, the USD strengthens and stock prices rise moderately. We look for a repeat of this pattern * Euro area data confirms short-term softness but a strong medium term outlook * US housing picks up steam

Week AheadNordea
Next week is expected to reveal continued strength in the US labour market. In the Euro area, we expect positive inflation following the zero level in April and an ECB monetary policy meeting without new policy signals. In the Nordics, Norges Bank’s business survey and the Danish central bank’s monthly data on foreign exchange and liquidity are released, and Sweden will deliver retail sales figures.

Macro WeeklyABN AMRO
Most eurozone data was positive * Draghi will do a lap of honour * Greek saga approaching the end game * Yellen trying to push market expectations: to little avail * Erratic data *

Viikkokatsaus – Nordea

  STOCKS
Weekly Market SummaryThe Fat Pitch
The trend in US equities remains higher. But momentum is very weak and breadth suggests the uptrend is running on fumes. This is the set up as we enter June, one of the weakest months of the year for equities.

  FOREX
FX OutlookMarc Chandler
Dollar Bulls may Pause

G10 FX weeklyABN AMRO
USD/JPY breaks through technical resistance * Since the last two weeks, US dollar has strengthened on better US data * Greece negotiations affect the euro

EM FX WeeklyABN AMRO
EM currencies extend losses * Ruble slides on crude oil easing and dovish comments from officials * Chinese yuan resilient

FX4 Next WeekTF
Dollar strength expected to regather pushing EURUSD towards 1.0700 * GBPJPY likely for slip as sterling strength unlikely to persist * CHF implications if the Swiss National Bank decides enough is enough * AUD weakness building ahead of Tuesday's Reserve Bank of Australia meeting

FX: the USD poker faceNordea
The USD strength with lower USD rates last week - the relationship still holds. The USDJPY move overdone. The NZD looks weakest, if USD rally continues...while CAD is a candidate for reversal.


CALENDARS
Economic Calendar – investing.com
Economic Calendar – BB
EU calendar – europa.eu
MarkkinakalenteriNordnet
MarkkinakalenteriTaloussanomat

Global Central Banks Calendar – WSJ
Central Bank Release Calendar – Daily FX