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Sunday, March 27

27th Mar - Weekly Support



Here are the links to the weekly roundups, reviews and also previews of the beginning week. Last week’s post is here.


Previously on MoreLiver’s:

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  LAST WEEK
Weekly ScoreboardBetween The Hedges

Succinct summation of week’s eventsThe Big Picture

Bloomberg Best: Global Week in ReviewBB

  NEXT WEEK
US Schedule for WeekBill McBride

Economic Calendar – Berenberg

5 Things to Watch on the Economic Calendar WSJ

Week AheadBB
U.S. Jobs, Nuclear Summit, Yellen

Wall St Week AheadReuters
Economic data could put stocks back on higher path

Weighing the Week AheadJeff Miller
Can Markets Finally Celebrate Good News?

EcoWeekBNP Paribas
Global A mixed picture keeps central banks in focus: From ‘risk off’ to ‘risk on'. Dovish Fed, for how long? Eurozone growth looking good. France A slow but unobstructed recovery: According to our estimates, French growth will barely accelerate this year and next, with average annual GDP growth of 1.2% in 2016 (the same as in 2015), followed by 1.3% in 2017. There are numerous supportive factors to boost domestic demand, but they will run up against the deterioration of the external environment. Netherlands Getting its house in order: In 2016, the Dutch economy will still benefit from low energy prices and interest rates, and a weak euro, although to a lesser extent than in 2015. Slower export growth will be offset by a substantial tax reduction. On balance, GDP growth should remain at around 1.8%.

Global Economic Forecasts Mar-24ABN AMRO

Week AheadHandelsbanken
Eurozone: Inflation stabilizing * China: MNI indicator points to weak PMI * Sweden: Retail sales growth to increase in February * Norway: Stable unemployment survey reading; stable credit growth; contraction in retail sales

Global Week Ahead Scotiabank

Weekly Market OutlookMoody’s

Macro Weekly – Next stop helicopter money?ABN AMRO
There can be no question about it. Since the financial crisis started in 2007/08, we have experienced the most spectacular experiment in monetary policy mankind has ever seen. And as is typical for experiments, the outcome is uncertain. We have seen unprecedented liquidity support to the financial system, rescue operations for financial institutions, official interest rates near zero and large-scale asset purchases by central banks. The latest twist is negative interest rates and a discussion has started about ‘helicopter money’. How did we get here and where will we end up?

Monthly Commodity UpdateABN AMRO
Commodity prices have bottomed

FX Weekly: The dots hit the dollarABN AMRO
The dollar rally is over in our view. We are more optimistic on commodity currencies and positive on currencies of oil exporters. However, we expect some pressure on the yen this year and sterling to weaken ahead of Brexit referendum. We have kept USD/CNY unchanged as it is in a long-term process to move to a more flexible regime. We are less negative on Asia FX.

Speculative PositioningMarc Chandler
Speculative Yen Longs Remain Near Record Levels

FX OutlookMarc Chandler
Greenback Finds Better Traction

Weekly Market SummaryThe Fat Pitch
Equities fell for the first time in six weeks. The intermediate-term uptrend remains healthy, but some minor short-term weakness has crept in. SPY could be setting up within a trading range between 200 and 206: fading extremes at these levels is probably the set up going forward.